{"id":953096,"date":"2026-04-20T16:52:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T20:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-office-market-stabilizes-as-demand-concentrates-in-leading-markets-and-supply-continues-to-contract\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T16:52:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T20:52:00","slug":"u-s-office-market-stabilizes-as-demand-concentrates-in-leading-markets-and-supply-continues-to-contract","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-office-market-stabilizes-as-demand-concentrates-in-leading-markets-and-supply-continues-to-contract\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

U.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract<\/b><\/p>\n

Q1 data shows improving leasing momentum in New York, San Francisco and Orange County, while shrinking supply and falling sublease space begin to rebalance conditions<\/i><\/p>\n

NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE<\/a>)–
\nThe U.S. office market is beginning to stabilize, with improving demand, flat vacancy and a sharp pullback in new supply signaling a shift from broad-based decline to a more selective recovery.<\/p>\n

\nWhile overall office absorption was negative in the first quarter at -4.0 million square feet (msf), underlying demand has strengthened over the past year. The four-quarter rolling absorption total reached +5.2 msf, the highest level since early 2020.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cThe quarterly number doesn\u2019t tell the full story,\u201d said David C. Smith, Head of Americas Insights at Cushman & Wakefield. \u201cWhat matters is that demand has been improving consistently over the past year, and that momentum is now showing up across a broader set of markets.\u201d<\/p>\n

\nThat momentum is not evenly distributed but it is spreading. In fact, if the four weakest-performing markets were excluded, national absorption over the past year would exceed +20 msf, highlighting how a limited number of markets continue to weigh on overall results.<\/p>\n

New York<\/b> is leading the recovery at scale. Midtown Manhattan<\/b> recorded +8.5 msf of absorption over the past four quarters, the strongest performance in the country, while Midtown South<\/b> added +2.7 msf.<\/p>\n

\nSeveral NYC-adjacent markets have also experienced recovering demand with significant absorption over the past year: Northern New Jersey<\/b> (+1.8 msf), Westchester County<\/b> (+575,000 sf), Fairfield County<\/b> (+427,000 sf) and Brooklyn <\/b>(+243,000 sf).<\/p>\n

San Francisco<\/b> is resetting after facing challenges during the downturn. The market posted +2.4 msf of absorption and also saw the largest year-over-year reduction in sublease space of any U.S. market.<\/p>\n

Orange County<\/b> and Dallas<\/b> are emerging as consistent growth markets, with +2.2 msf and +2.4 msf of absorption, respectively.<\/p>\n

\nIn total, 57 U.S. office markets recorded positive absorption over the past four quarters, up from 33 markets in full-year 2024.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cDemand is returning, but it\u2019s not happening everywhere at the same pace,\u201d Smith said. \u201cA relatively small group of markets is accounting for a disproportionate share of the softness in the market, and increasingly market-level vacancy is concentrated among a smaller share of struggling buildings.\u201d<\/p>\n

Vacancy Levels Off as Leading Markets Begin to Tighten
\n<\/b>
The national vacancy rate held at 20.2%, rising just 5 basis points year-over-year, the smallest annual increase since the pandemic began.<\/p>\n

\nVacancy declined over the past year in 46 of 92 tracked markets, with 22 markets recording declines of more than 100 basis points, led by San Francisco, Midtown Manhattan, Midtown South, Orange County<\/b> and Austin<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cVacancy is no longer moving in one direction nationally,\u201d Smith said. \u201cIn a growing number of markets, it has plateaued and is starting to come down, which is a meaningful shift from what we\u2019ve seen over the past several years.\u201d<\/p>\n

Sublease Space Continues to Fall Across Major Markets
\n<\/b>
A key driver of improving occupancy is the continued reduction in sublease space.<\/p>\n

\nNational sublease availability declined to 101 msf, down 25% from its peak in Q1 2024 and 13.6% year-over-year, representing a 16.0 msf reduction over the past four quarters.<\/p>\n

\nSublease space declined year-over-year in 52 U.S. markets, with the largest reductions occurring in San Francisco, Midtown Manhattan, Dallas, San Jose<\/b> and Minneapolis\/St. Paul<\/b>, each exceeding 1 msf.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cThe decline in sublease space is one of the clearest signs that the market is adjusting,\u201d Smith said. \u201cTenants are recommitting to their space and making longer-term decisions, and that is steadily removing excess space from the system.\u201d<\/p>\n

New Supply Falls to Multi-Decade Lows
\n<\/b>
At the same time, the supply pipeline has contracted sharply.<\/p>\n

\nNew office completions declined 40% year-over-year in Q1, bringing the four-quarter total to 16.3 million square feet. Space under construction fell to 18.6 msf, down 4.2% quarter-over-quarter and the lowest level on record this century.<\/p>\n

\nThe construction pipeline now represents just 0.3% of total U.S. office inventory, down from 2.6% in 2020.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cSupply is no longer adding incremental pressure to the market,\u201d Smith said. \u201cWith new construction at historic lows, occupiers\u2019 focus will need to shift to creative solutions to find the right kind of space for the future.\u201d<\/p>\n

Office Inventory Begins to Decline
\n<\/b>
Total office inventory is now contracting as well.<\/p>\n

\nU.S. office stock has declined by 0.7% over the past five quarters, a reduction of approximately 38 million square feet from its peak in late 2024.<\/p>\n

\nOver the past year, 20 markets recorded inventory declines of 1.0% or more, reflecting conversions, demolitions and other repositioning strategies.<\/p>\n

Market Outlook
\n<\/b>
The U.S. office market is no longer weakening at a national level, but performance is increasingly defined by differences across markets, submarkets and individual buildings.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cWhat we\u2019re seeing is a market that is stabilizing, but in a more selective way,\u201d Smith said. \u201cMarkets with sustained demand and limited new supply are beginning to tighten, while there are a few others still working through excess space.\u201d<\/p>\n

\nWhile some markets remain in transition, an increasing number of markets are showing a combination of positive absorption, declining vacancy and falling sublease space, supported by minimal new construction and increasing conversions.<\/p>\n

\nThe next phase of the cycle will be shaped by these changing supply and demand dynamics.<\/p>\n

About Cushman & Wakefield<\/b><\/p>\n

\nCushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for occupiers and investors with approximately 53,000 employees in over 350 offices and nearly 60 countries. In 2025, the firm reported revenue of $10.3 billion across its core service lines of Services, Leasing, Capital markets, and Valuation and other. Built around the belief that Better never settles<\/i>, the firm receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

View source version on businesswire.com: <\/span>https:\/\/www.businesswire.com\/news\/home\/20260420248174\/en\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

MEDIA CONTACT:
\n
Garrett Derderian
\n<\/b>
VP, Americas Corporate Communications
\n
+1 917 291 9159
\n
garrett.derderian@cushwake.com<\/a><\/p>\n

KEYWORDS:<\/b> California Minnesota Texas New York Florida New Jersey United States North America<\/p>\n

INDUSTRY KEYWORDS:<\/b> Other Construction & Property Professional Services Other Professional Services Commercial Building & Real Estate Construction & Property<\/p>\n

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U.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract Q1 data shows improving leasing momentum in New York, San Francisco and Orange County, while shrinking supply and falling sublease space begin to rebalance conditions NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The U.S. office market is beginning to stabilize, with improving demand, flat vacancy and a sharp pullback in new supply signaling a shift from broad-based decline to a more selective recovery. While overall office absorption was negative in the first quarter at -4.0 million square feet (msf), underlying demand has strengthened over the past year. The four-quarter rolling absorption total reached +5.2 msf, the highest level since early 2020. \u201cThe quarterly number doesn\u2019t tell the full story,\u201d … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “U.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-953096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nU.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract - Market Newsdesk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-office-market-stabilizes-as-demand-concentrates-in-leading-markets-and-supply-continues-to-contract\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"U.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract - Market Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"U.S. Office Market Stabilizes as Demand Concentrates in Leading Markets and Supply Continues to Contract Q1 data shows improving leasing momentum in New York, San Francisco and Orange County, while shrinking supply and falling sublease space begin to rebalance conditions NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The U.S. office market is beginning to stabilize, with improving demand, flat vacancy and a sharp pullback in new supply signaling a shift from broad-based decline to a more selective recovery. 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While overall office absorption was negative in the first quarter at -4.0 million square feet (msf), underlying demand has strengthened over the past year. 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