{"id":759936,"date":"2023-05-23T03:03:37","date_gmt":"2023-05-23T07:03:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/"},"modified":"2023-05-23T03:03:37","modified_gmt":"2023-05-23T07:03:37","slug":"barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/","title":{"rendered":"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>        <!--.bwalignc { text-align: center; list-style-position: inside }body {font:normal small Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#000;background-color:#fff;padding:24px;margin:0;} a img {border:0;} h3 {font-size:medium;color:#000;margin:0 0 1em 0; text-align:center;}-->  <\/p>\n<p class=\"bwalignc\"><b>Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"bwalignc\"><i>In the 2023 Equity Gilt Study, Barclays Research Analysts Take Stock of Recent Shifts in Climate, Labour Markets and Chip Manufacturing, and Examine the Implications for Growth and for Prices<\/i><\/p>\n<p>LONDON&#8211;(<a href=\"http:\/\/www.businesswire.com\">BUSINESS WIRE<\/a>)&#8211;<br \/>\nIn this year\u2019s edition of our flagship annual publication, Barclays Research analysts delve into several supply shocks the world is likely to face in coming years and how they might impact the global economy. Analysts find that on almost all fronts, the world is likely looking at a more inflationary environment than in the last three decades.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;The world economy is still changing at an incredible pace,&#8221; says Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research. &#8220;Some changes \u2013 such as the green transition \u2013 are coordinated and by design. Some are driven by realpolitik or happenstance. But they have three features in common: the shifts are structural, very likely to prove inflationary and will last for years to come.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>The Green Transition<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nBarclays analysts argue that achieving carbon neutrality will require an unprecedented transformation for the global economy. A wholesale reallocation of resources is achievable, but the journey will be bumpy, involving new taxes and tougher regulation. Studies suggest that the transition will be inflationary initially and could come at the cost of a small decline in GDP, before turning deflationary over time.<\/p>\n<p><b>Labour Shortages<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nChanges in working practices during the pandemic raised questions over whether tight labour markets would become a recurring feature of the macro landscape. Barclays analysts argue that the supply of labour is likely to remain limited, as working populations grow older and as societies resist reforms that might help to alleviate pressures, such as raising pensionable ages, or lifting curbs on immigration.<\/p>\n<p><b>Food Security<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nGrowth in population requires smart use of scarce resources to feed ourselves and future generations. Yet extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and more severe, posing real threats to agribusiness and to infrastructure. Barclays analysts point out that technological breakthroughs, such as vertical farming and gene editing, are vital, in order to boost crop yields and quality.<\/p>\n<p><b>Global Chip Manufacturing<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nThe battle for technological supremacy between the West and China has the potential to disrupt the complex and globalized chip manufacturing supply chain. Barclays analysts expect any shifts to be gradual as Taiwan\u2019s dominance in advanced semiconductors, and China\u2019s cost advantage make abrupt and radical moves unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>\n&gt;&gt;&gt; Clients can gain access to the full Equity Gilt Study report on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Flive.barcap.com%2F&amp;esheet=53405145&amp;newsitemid=20230523005453&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Barclays+Live&amp;index=1&amp;md5=5621bf9ef23fa55c027191911fb912b2\">Barclays Live<br \/>\n<\/a><br \/>&gt;&gt;&gt;To learn more about our Research offering and view recent insights, <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cib.barclays%2F&amp;esheet=53405145&amp;newsitemid=20230523005453&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=click+here&amp;index=2&amp;md5=ee2df2214292b00969c164c2e025dd85\">click here<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Notes to editors:<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nBarclays Equity Gilt Study is a flagship annual publication that combines market-leading macro analysis with a unique multi-asset dataset spanning over 100 years. It provides uniquely rich data and commentary on long-term asset returns in the UK and US. Data for the UK goes back to 1899, while the US data, provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices at the University of Chicago, runs from 1925.<\/p>\n<p><b>About Barclays Corporate and Investment Bank<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nBarclays Corporate and Investment Bank is comprised of the Investment Banking, International Corporate Banking, Global Markets and Research businesses. It provides money managers, financial institutions, governments, supranational organisations and corporate clients with services and advice for their funding, financing, strategic and risk management needs. For further information about Barclays Corporate and Investment Bank, please visit our website <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cib.barclays&amp;esheet=53405145&amp;newsitemid=20230523005453&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=www.cib.barclays&amp;index=3&amp;md5=6ccd2f8cf89cd97ab7564b00ec8470d9\">www.cib.barclays<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20230523005453r1&amp;sid=flmnd&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en\" style=\"width:0;height:0\" \/><span class=\"bwct31415\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"mmgallerylink\"><span id=\"mmgallerylink-phrase\">View source version on businesswire.com: <\/span><span id=\"mmgallerylink-link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.businesswire.com\/news\/home\/20230523005453\/en\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/www.businesswire.com\/news\/home\/20230523005453\/en\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\nClaudia Gilbert Allen<br \/>\n<br \/>+44 207 773 2064<br \/>\n<br \/><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"mailto:Claudia.gilbertallen@barclays.com\">Claudia.gilbertallen@barclays.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>KEYWORDS:<\/b> Europe United States United Kingdom North America<\/p>\n<p><b>INDUSTRY KEYWORDS:<\/b> Banking Professional Services Environmental Policy Business Thought Leadership Environmental Issues Technology Environment Semiconductor Human Resources Finance Climate Change<\/p>\n<p><b>MEDIA:<\/b><\/p>\n<table cellpadding=\"3\" cellspacing=\"3\">\n<tr>\n<td><font face=\"Arial\" size=\"2\"><b>Logo<\/b><\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mms.businesswire.com\/media\/20230523005453\/en\/322753\/3\/Barclays.jpg\" alt=\"Logo\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font face=\"Arial\" size=\"2\"><\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces In the 2023 Equity Gilt Study, Barclays Research Analysts Take Stock of Recent Shifts in Climate, Labour Markets and Chip Manufacturing, and Examine the Implications for Growth and for Prices LONDON&#8211;(BUSINESS WIRE)&#8211; In this year\u2019s edition of our flagship annual publication, Barclays Research analysts delve into several supply shocks the world is likely to face in coming years and how they might impact the global economy. Analysts find that on almost all fronts, the world is likely looking at a more inflationary environment than in the last three decades. &#8220;The world economy is still changing at an incredible pace,&#8221; says Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research. &#8220;Some changes &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-759936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces - Market Newsdesk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces - Market Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces In the 2023 Equity Gilt Study, Barclays Research Analysts Take Stock of Recent Shifts in Climate, Labour Markets and Chip Manufacturing, and Examine the Implications for Growth and for Prices LONDON&#8211;(BUSINESS WIRE)&#8211; In this year\u2019s edition of our flagship annual publication, Barclays Research analysts delve into several supply shocks the world is likely to face in coming years and how they might impact the global economy. Analysts find that on almost all fronts, the world is likely looking at a more inflationary environment than in the last three decades. &#8220;The world economy is still changing at an incredible pace,&#8221; says Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research. &#8220;Some changes &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Market Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-05-23T07:03:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20230523005453r1&amp;sid=flmnd&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Newsdesk\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Newsdesk\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/482f27a394d4fda80ecb5499e519d979\"},\"headline\":\"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-05-23T07:03:37+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":631,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cts.businesswire.com\\\/ct\\\/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20230523005453r1&amp;sid=flmnd&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\\\/\",\"name\":\"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces - 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Analysts find that on almost all fronts, the world is likely looking at a more inflationary environment than in the last three decades. &#8220;The world economy is still changing at an incredible pace,&#8221; says Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research. &#8220;Some changes &hellip; Continue reading \"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces\"","og_url":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/","og_site_name":"Market Newsdesk","article_published_time":"2023-05-23T07:03:37+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20230523005453r1&amp;sid=flmnd&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Newsdesk","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Newsdesk","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/"},"author":{"name":"Newsdesk","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/482f27a394d4fda80ecb5499e519d979"},"headline":"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces","datePublished":"2023-05-23T07:03:37+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/"},"wordCount":631,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20230523005453r1&amp;sid=flmnd&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en","inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/","url":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/barclays-research-expects-a-series-of-supply-shocks-to-fan-inflationary-forces\/","name":"Barclays Research Expects a Series of Supply Shocks to Fan Inflationary Forces - 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