{"id":382925,"date":"2020-11-17T08:33:44","date_gmt":"2020-11-17T13:33:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/?p=382925"},"modified":"2020-11-17T08:33:44","modified_gmt":"2020-11-17T13:33:44","slug":"u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"xn-newslines\">\n<h2 class=\"xn-hedline\">Housing Sector Remains Strong but Expected to Moderate in New Year<\/h2>\n<p class=\"xn-distributor\">PR Newswire<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"xn-content\">\n<p>\n        <span class=\"xn-location\">WASHINGTON<\/span>, <span class=\"xn-chron\">Nov. 17, 2020<\/span> \/PRNewswire\/ &#8212;\u00a0The response by consumers and policymakers to rising COVID-19 case counts is likely to determine whether currently projected improvements to U.S. economic growth materialize, according to the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=173240783&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fresearch-and-insights%2Fforecast%2Fcontinued-growth-contingent-covid-19-resurgence&amp;a=latest+commentary\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">latest commentary<\/a> from the Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=1397677708&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fresearch-and-insights&amp;a=Economic+and+Strategic+Research+(ESR)+Group\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group<\/a>. While the ESR group expects the virus&#8217; resurgence to drag on consumer spending in coming months, absent spring-like behavioral shifts and lockdown measures, it expects that the further recovery of the domestic labor market and built-up household savings will likely be sufficient to drive continued real GDP growth, which is now forecast at 3.3 percent for full-year 2021, slightly below last month&#8217;s projection, and 3.0 percent for full-year 2022. Nearer-term projections, including the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2021, were revised modestly downward due in part to recent signs of modest, virus-related changes in consumer behavior. Although strict new lockdown or social distancing mandates remain the largest downside risk, the ESR Group notes that economic growth in coming quarters could substantially surpass the baseline forecast if, alternatively, such measures can be avoided and the development of a vaccine progresses swiftly.<\/p>\n<p>After a sharp rebound in the third quarter, housing is expected to demonstrate continued strength through the rest of 2020 and into the new year. For the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2021, the ESR Group has upgraded its new and existing home sales forecasts \u2013 due to stronger-than-expected sales to date \u2013 as well as its mortgage origination forecasts for full-year 2020 and 2021. However, the ESR Group noted that the home sales pace may have peaked in September and expects a moderate slowdown to be underway. Pending sales and purchase mortgage applications have recently pulled back from highs as pent-up homebuyer demand from the spring continues to recede. A renewal of infection avoidance behavior among prospective homebuyers and home sellers could also adversely impact the forecast.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The continued geographic shift and now resurgence of COVID-19 has raised risks to the pace of growth, though in our view not to the level of a potential second recessionary downturn,&#8221; said <span class=\"xn-person\">Doug Duncan<\/span>, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. &#8220;Households appear reasonably well-positioned to weather and cushion the slowdown, but if a strict broad-based lockdown were to be instituted and sustained, then the economy could turn down again. Meanwhile, the housing market continues to thrive in the low rate environment, particularly refinancing, but the sector is showing some early signs of slowing on the purchase side as the delayed seasonal effect works its way through the market.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Visit\u00a0the <u><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=111296148&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fresearch-and-insights&amp;a=Economic+%26+Strategic+Research\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Economic &amp; Strategic Research<\/a><\/u> site at <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=314254501&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2F&amp;a=fanniemae.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">fanniemae.com<\/a> to read the full <span class=\"xn-chron\">November 2020<\/span> Economic Outlook, including the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=681688358&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fresearch-and-insights%2Fforecast%2Fcontinued-growth-contingent-covid-19-resurgence&amp;a=Economic+Developments+Commentary\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Economic Developments Commentary<\/a>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=2488375452&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fmedia%2Fdocument%2Fpdf%2Feconomic-forecast-111720&amp;a=Economic+Forecast\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Economic Forecast<\/a>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=4131318281&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fmedia%2Fdocument%2Fpdf%2Fhousing-forecast-111720&amp;a=Housing+Forecast\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Housing Forecast<\/a>, and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=3189517690&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fmedia%2Fdocument%2Fpdf%2Fmf-market-commentary-111720&amp;a=Multifamily+Market+Commentary\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Multifamily Market Commentary<\/a>. To receive e-mail updates with other housing market research from Fannie Mae&#8217;s Economic &amp; Strategic Research Group, please <u><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=1708647366&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fportal%2Fresearch-insights%2Fesr-signup.html&amp;a=click+here\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a><\/u>.<\/p>\n<p>\n        <b>About Fannie Mae<br \/><\/b>Fannie Mae helps make the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and affordable rental housing possible for millions of Americans. We partner with lenders to create housing opportunities for families across the country. We are driving positive changes in housing finance to make the home buying process easier, while reducing costs and risk. To learn more, visit:<br \/><u><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=314254501&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2F&amp;a=fanniemae.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">fanniemae.com<\/a><\/u> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=2899951994&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Ffanniemae&amp;a=Twitter\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Twitter<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=1646526211&amp;u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Ffanniemae&amp;a=Facebook\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Facebook<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=84626860&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.linkedin.com%2Fcompany%2Ffannie-mae-corporation_19722%2F&amp;a=LinkedIn\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">LinkedIn<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=3887168647&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.instagram.com%2Fofficialfanniemae%2F&amp;a=Instagram\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Instagram<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=4198800365&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fuser%2FFannieMaeWeb&amp;a=YouTube\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">YouTube<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=3913567265&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fportal%2Fresearch-insights%2Fperspectives.html&amp;a=Blog\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Blog<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n        <b>Fannie Mae Newsroom<br \/><\/b><br \/>\n        <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=2276828927&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fnews%2F&amp;a=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fnews\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.fanniemae.com\/news<\/a>\n      <\/p>\n<p>\n        <b>Photo of Fannie Mae<br \/><\/b><br \/>\n        <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2983742-1&amp;h=3506199451&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fresources%2Fimg%2Fabout-fm%2Ffm-building.tif&amp;a=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanniemae.com%2Fresources%2Fimg%2Fabout-fm%2Ffm-building.tif\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.fanniemae.com\/resources\/img\/about-fm\/fm-building.tif<\/a>\n      <\/p>\n<p>\n        <b>Fannie Mae Resource Center<br \/><\/b>1-800-2FANNIE<\/p>\n<p>\n        <i>Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views of Fannie Mae&#8217;s Economic &amp; Strategic Research (ESR) group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae&#8217;s business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views published by the ESR group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management. <\/i>\n      <\/p>\n<p id=\"PURL\">\n        <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Cision\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" alt=\"Cision\" src=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/img\/favicon.png?sn=CL93745&amp;sd=2020-11-17\" \/> View original content:<a id=\"PRNURL\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/us-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path-301174568.html\">http:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/us-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path-301174568.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>SOURCE  Fannie Mae<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/rt.prnewswire.com\/rt.gif?NewsItemId=CL93745&amp;Transmission_Id=202011170830PR_NEWS_USPR_____CL93745&amp;DateId=20201117\" style=\"border:0px;width:1px;height:1px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Housing Sector Remains Strong but Expected to Moderate in New Year PR Newswire WASHINGTON, Nov. 17, 2020 \/PRNewswire\/ &#8212;\u00a0The response by consumers and policymakers to rising COVID-19 case counts is likely to determine whether currently projected improvements to U.S. economic growth materialize, according to the latest commentary from the Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. While the ESR group expects the virus&#8217; resurgence to drag on consumer spending in coming months, absent spring-like behavioral shifts and lockdown measures, it expects that the further recovery of the domestic labor market and built-up household savings will likely be sufficient to drive continued real GDP growth, which is now forecast at 3.3 percent for full-year 2021, slightly below last &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-382925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path - Market Newsdesk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path - Market Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Housing Sector Remains Strong but Expected to Moderate in New Year PR Newswire WASHINGTON, Nov. 17, 2020 \/PRNewswire\/ &#8212;\u00a0The response by consumers and policymakers to rising COVID-19 case counts is likely to determine whether currently projected improvements to U.S. economic growth materialize, according to the latest commentary from the Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. While the ESR group expects the virus&#8217; resurgence to drag on consumer spending in coming months, absent spring-like behavioral shifts and lockdown measures, it expects that the further recovery of the domestic labor market and built-up household savings will likely be sufficient to drive continued real GDP growth, which is now forecast at 3.3 percent for full-year 2021, slightly below last &hellip; Continue reading &quot;U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Market Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-11-17T13:33:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/img\/favicon.png?sn=CL93745&amp;sd=2020-11-17\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Newsdesk\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Newsdesk\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Newsdesk\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/482f27a394d4fda80ecb5499e519d979\"},\"headline\":\"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-11-17T13:33:44+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":746,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/c212.net\\\/c\\\/img\\\/favicon.png?sn=CL93745&amp;sd=2020-11-17\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\\\/index.php\\\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\\\/\",\"name\":\"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path - 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Market Newsdesk","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path - Market Newsdesk","og_description":"Housing Sector Remains Strong but Expected to Moderate in New Year PR Newswire WASHINGTON, Nov. 17, 2020 \/PRNewswire\/ &#8212;\u00a0The response by consumers and policymakers to rising COVID-19 case counts is likely to determine whether currently projected improvements to U.S. economic growth materialize, according to the latest commentary from the Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. While the ESR group expects the virus&#8217; resurgence to drag on consumer spending in coming months, absent spring-like behavioral shifts and lockdown measures, it expects that the further recovery of the domestic labor market and built-up household savings will likely be sufficient to drive continued real GDP growth, which is now forecast at 3.3 percent for full-year 2021, slightly below last &hellip; Continue reading \"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path\"","og_url":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/","og_site_name":"Market Newsdesk","article_published_time":"2020-11-17T13:33:44+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/img\/favicon.png?sn=CL93745&amp;sd=2020-11-17","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Newsdesk","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Newsdesk","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/"},"author":{"name":"Newsdesk","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/482f27a394d4fda80ecb5499e519d979"},"headline":"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path","datePublished":"2020-11-17T13:33:44+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/"},"wordCount":746,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/c212.net\/c\/img\/favicon.png?sn=CL93745&amp;sd=2020-11-17","inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/","url":"https:\/\/www.marketnewsdesk.com\/index.php\/u-s-economic-health-heavily-dependent-on-covid-19-path\/","name":"U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path - 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